This applet is designed to show how the population growth drives
the demand for power which in turn requires more power generation
capacity, which in turn has an environmental consequence.
In this case, our community Salmonville relies on
hydroelectric power. Due to its pollution free nature and high
degree of renewability, many other people are attracted to
Salmonville and the community begins
to enjoy economic prosperity and full employment. Of course, the
fish don't like this too much.
This simulation shows the relation between population growth, energy
consumption and fish decimation. Note that many people in
Salmonville own fish restauraunts
where Salmon is the main course, so even without dams, the
Salmon population is threatened by fish eaters.
The inputs which the user controls in this simulation are the
following:
- The exponential rate of population increase. The
default value is set at 5% per year.
- The Technology factor - this controls the power consumption
per person as time increases. If you want to promote energy
conservation - set this value equal less than 1. If you think
people consume more energy as civilization advances, set this
to a value greater than 1. The default is 1
- The fish kill factor - this controls the percentage of
incoming fish that are killed by a single dam. The default
is 10%. Note, if you set this to 0%, the dams have no effect
and its only the Salmon restuarants in Salmonville
that are a threat to the Salmon.
- Dams modifier - this factor takes into account any non-linearity
that might be present. Most of the complexity of the simulation
is in this number. For instance, the default is 1, which means
that 2 dams on the river kill twice as many fish as one dam.
If you think the dam multiplier is greater than 1, then set it
greater than one. If you think its less than 1, then set it
less than one. The default is 1.
Your task is to construct different scenarios
to see the length of time it takes to decimate the initial population
of 1 billion fish, starting from an initial population of 20,000
people and one dam. Can you construct a scenario that preserves
the fish for 1000 years?